Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.380195e-01 3.248846e-01 0.427168 0.554433 0.706457 0.880233 1.091831
2026-01-04 1.234896e-01 2.212452e-01 0.357069 0.549864 0.806776 1.128052 1.550483
2026-01-11 5.836076e-02 1.456211e-01 0.291391 0.526967 0.873148 1.339534 1.990626
2026-01-18 2.600666e-02 9.740494e-02 0.243392 0.510846 0.939385 1.553484 2.452278
2026-01-25 1.143072e-02 6.919314e-02 0.214682 0.513489 1.028402 1.803454 2.979638
2026-02-01 3.597996e-03 4.474808e-02 0.179102 0.491780 1.071849 1.987423 3.424640
2026-02-08 1.280848e-03 3.450640e-02 0.169640 0.515112 1.190133 2.290272 4.055998
2026-02-15 2.324851e-04 2.417954e-02 0.152294 0.516243 1.267512 2.532748 4.609153
2026-02-22 4.314253e-05 2.050365e-02 0.153490 0.558181 1.422530 2.907343 5.376503
2026-03-01 5.021884e-07 1.610659e-02 0.148327 0.583184 1.546983 3.237842 6.088836
2026-03-08 NaN 1.140677e-02 0.136712 0.588390 1.632182 3.506354 6.714329
2026-03-15 NaN 7.161610e-03 0.120719 0.576608 1.680503 3.713299 7.249346
2026-03-22 NaN 4.904482e-03 0.113003 0.587300 1.778759 4.015777 7.954862
2026-03-29 NaN 3.018647e-03 0.103067 0.588106 1.855698 4.284762 8.616642
2026-04-05 NaN 1.415042e-03 0.088134 0.566886 1.880942 4.462022 9.135200
2026-04-12 NaN 5.893509e-04 0.076320 0.551322 1.916180 4.657970 9.689925
2026-04-19 NaN 2.630890e-04 0.070200 0.554846 1.996092 4.939487 10.394861
2026-04-26 NaN 4.941651e-05 0.059051 0.532273 2.009421 5.095578 10.892793
2026-05-03 NaN 2.011427e-05 0.058597 0.557136 2.143334 5.486675 11.799405
2026-05-10 NaN 1.488009e-06 0.053600 0.558433 2.216903 5.763895 12.517968
2026-05-17 NaN 7.559787e-07 0.056934 0.602797 2.406014 6.272221 13.644742
2026-05-24 NaN 1.490976e-08 0.056798 0.629219 2.549567 6.695501 14.632959
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.052996 0.634727 2.637828 7.012731 15.444138